Estimating deformations of random processes for correlation modelling: methodology and the one-dimensional case

Michel, Yann

Année de publication
2013

We introduce the use of spatial deformations for the modelling of background-error correlations in data assimilation with large dimensions of the state variable. Usually, the background-error covariance matrix is split into standard deviations and correlations. In this framework, a proposal is made to model the correlations as the space deformation of a stationary correlation model. The 'shape from texture' approach introduced in the computer vision community is an algorithm that estimates the relative deformation gradient and relies on a continuous wavelet analysis. It is also shown that it is possible to estimate the deformation gradient from a simple length-scale diagnosis and both approaches are compared. Then, a change of coordinate is derived from the numerical integration of the deformation gradient, opening the path to build the approximate correlation model.
Many variational data-assimilation schemes use a square-root form to construct the background-error covariance matrix and it is shown how the deformation can be easily included in such a formulation. This approach is of interest in allowing for objective geographical inhomogeneities of the structure functions. The deformed matrix is of slightly reduced rank, but this can be compensated for by a regularization. There is no need for additional normalization as is the case when one models correlations with wavelet frames or recursive filters. The algorithm has a similar computational cost to these two other approaches. Results are illustrated with real data from one-dimensional temperature forecast errors produced by an operational atmospheric model. Copyright © 2012 Royal Meteorological Society

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