Forecasting techniques review project
Lavington, P.F.
The project produced clear evidence that for forecasting maximum and minimum temperatures the Single Site Forecasting Model (SSFM) and Model Output Statistics (MOS) are superior to traditional forecasting methods. The application of local experience from the forecaster, however, does produce a small improvement in accuracy over the traditional methods. Data analysed for other weather elements was generally too small for any definite conclusions to be made and in some cases verification proved very difficult. The performance of traditional methods and model products to predict fog, snow, low cloud, thunder and gusts were shown to be generally of limited help to the forecaster.
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