NWP-driven fire danger forecasting for Copernicus
Di Giuseppe, Francesca ; Pappenberger, Florian ; Wetterhall, Fredrik ; Krzeminski, Blazej ; San-Miguel-Ayanz, Jesús ; Camia, Andrea ; Libertà, Giorgio
Année de publication
A system to monitor and forecast wildfire danger in Europe is currently being developed in the framework of the EU-funded Copernicus Emergency Management Service. It aims to provide timely information to civil protection authorities in 39 nations across Europe by flagging up regions which might experience fire events due to high fire danger conditions. A novelty of the European Forest Fire Information System (EFFIS) is that it relies exclusively on weather forecasts to provide atmospheric forcings. This makes it possible to produce global fire danger forecasts with extended lead times. The traditional approach is for operational fire danger forecasting systems to be driven by local observations, mostly from weather observation stations.