Development of a prototype real-time sting-jet precursor tool for forecasters
Gray, Suzanne L. ; Martínez-Alvarado, Oscar ; Ackerley, Duncan ; Suri, Dan
Année de publication
2021
Sting jets in European windstorms can cause damaging winds and gusts, but the resolution of global ensemble prediction systems is too coarse to represent them. Here we describe the development of a tool applied to outputs from these systems that forecasters can use to identify favourable conditions for sting-jet occurrence several days ahead. Plots generated by this tool have been available to Met Office forecasters since autumn 2019, and we demonstrate its usefulness for storm Brendan from January 2020. </p>
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