Using ECMWF ensemble forecasts for operational observation targeting

Torn, Ryan D.

Année de publication
2022

Skilful forecasts of high-impact weather events depend on having an accurate estimate of the atmosphere in regions where errors can grow quickly by taking observations in those locations. Since 2019, the ensemble-based sensitivity method has been applied to ECMWF ensemble forecasts to provide guidance for operational reconnaissance flight planning for both tropical cyclones and atmospheric rivers. This article provides an overview of the technique and examples of how it has been applied to these two phenomena.</p>

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