The history of UK weather forecasting: the changing role of the central guidance forecaster. Part 5: rapid advances in the forecasting process - the late twentieth century
Young, Martin V. ; Grahame, Nick S.
The early 1980s ushered in rapid advances in forecasting skill with the introduction of the Met Office 15-level model in 1982, including much improved forecasting of cyclogenesis. Nevertheless, there remained many opportunities for forecasters to add value to computer output, for example by using an increasing range of satellite imagery. However, failure to predict the impacts from the Great Storm of October 1987 forced a major rethink of the severe weather warnings strategy. Outputs from other forecasting centres became available, in particular, ensembles from European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts. New operational working procedures evolved to maximise benefits derived from this ever-increasing volume of information.</p>
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