The history of UK weather forecasting: the changing role of the central guidance forecaster. Part 6: the late twentieth century: forecasting smaller-scale features

Young, Martin V. ; Grahame, Nick S.

Année de publication
2023

During the final two decades of the twentieth century, major strides had been made in forecasting synoptic-scale features such as fronts and cyclones. However, the forecasting of embedded smaller-scale features which could produce significant weather remained challenging. In addition, forecasting convection remained highly problematic. New conceptual models were developed, which when used in conjunction with satellite and radar imagery, assisted forecasters in both the understanding and short-period prediction of such features. A non-hydrostatic mesoscale computer model gradually became integrated into operational use by forecasters, providing some additional guidance on mesoscale precipitation distribution as well as boundary layer phenomena.</p>

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