Integrating Prediction of Precipitation and Hydrology for Early Actions: The InPRHA Project within the World Weather Research Programme
Intégration des prévisions de précipitations et de l'hydrologie pour des actions précoces : le projet InPRHA dans le cadre du Programme mondial de recherche météorologique
Cattoën, Céline ; Carr, Rachel Hogan ; Bennett, James ; Dougherty, Erin ; Fortin, Vincent ; Imhoff, Ruben ; Lee, Gyuwon ; Luo, Yali ; Mapedza, Everisto ; Polcher, Jan ; Prabhakaran, Thara ; Taylor, Andrea ; Leon, Jose Valles ; Phillips, Simone ; Kleist, Daryl ; Ramos, Maria-Helena ; Caltabiano, Nico ; Davis, Chris ; Coning, Estelle De
Année de publication
2025
Despite advancements in science and technology, flood prediction and preparedness remain challenging due to uncertainties in forecasting atmospheric and hydrologic processes, limited real-time data, and communication barriers. The Integrating Prediction of Precipitation and Hydrology for Early Actions (InPRHA) project, a 5-yr initiative under the WMO's World Weather Research Programme, is the first to bring together meteorology, hydrology, and social sciences within a steering committee to address these challenges. Building on knowledge from the High Impact Weather (HiWeather) project, InPRHA focuses on multihazard flood forecasting across the entire warning value chain from minutes to days, in a rapidly changing world. A key emphasis is understanding flood predictability and how uncertainties cascade through forecasting systems and are perceived, communicated, and acted upon by diverse stakeholders. This includes bridging research and operations, examining socioeconomic, cultural, and environmental challenges that influence risk perception and response. We propose key scientific questions across seven themes that address critical gaps in integrating predictions along the flood warning value chain. Addressing these gaps requires collaboration across disciplines and agencies. The project is structured into four work packages: DEFINE (identifying challenges), CONSTRUCT (gathering case studies), EXPERIMENT (scientific evaluations), and ENGAGE (community collaboration). Research will span rural, urban, and underdeveloped regions as well as countries with established warning systems, ensuring broad applicability. We invite scientists and practitioners from meteorology, hydrology, hydraulics, impacts, communication, human behavior, and economics to collaborate. By integrating disciplines and fostering transdisciplinary research, InPRHA aims to advance the science and practice of flood forecasting and early warnings to better protect vulnerable communities at risk.</div>
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